Does the use of information and communication technologies improve cereal production in Sub‐Saharan Africa? A method of moments quantile regression approach

Abstract

Agriculture is a cornerstone of the Sub‐Saharan African (SSA) economy, and leveraging ICT to enhance productivity is vital for improving food security. While prior studies focus on ICT's micro‐level effects in agriculture, its macro‐level impact on SSA's cereal production remains underexplored. This study employs the method of moment quantile regression (MMQR) and a balanced panel dataset to analyze the effects of ICT adoption on cereal production across SSA from 2001 to 2022. The findings reveal that mobile phone usage significantly boosts cereal production, particularly benefiting lower‐productivity farmers. Internet access enhances yields, with its impact strengthening at higher productivity levels. Expanded network coverage also positively influences production, while fixed broadband subscriptions show a negative correlation, likely due to rural infrastructure limitations. Furthermore, the study identifies education and agricultural credit as key channels through which ICT improves cereal production. Finally, we find bidirectional causality between cereal production and mobile phone usage, internet access, and network coverage, while fixed broadband subscriptions exhibit a unidirectional causal effect. These insights suggest that policies promoting network expansion, mobile connectivity, and internet access, especially in rural areas, could significantly enhance cereal production in SSA.